Mỹ

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Fact check

Đài DW (Deutsche Welle) là đài Đức. Không liên quan đến truyền thông Hoa Kỳ.

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What the US presidential election means for Europe

[Thùy Linh]

Đọc báo The Guardian 5 November 2024

A second Trump presidency would put Australia on a collision course with the US
Paul Daley

https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...se-with-the-us

Amid the frantic effort to help Kevin Rudd build bridges, there is Australian diplomatic, military and bureaucratic panic about the 50/50 prospect of a second Trump presidency .

For many months the federal government has been calming the farm, officials urging us to “just chill” about the possibility of our major ally the United States returning to the control of a misogynist, dictatorially inclined, sexually abusing convicted felon who reportedly said he’d execute political enemies and turn the military on fellow Americans.

And that’s all just for starters. There’s a whole lot more to not chill about. So I won’t be chilling about the most consequential election of my lifetime. Because it is clear that behind the “we’ll work with whoever is elected/it won’t alter the US-Australia relationship” facade, there is a level of Australian diplomatic, military and bureaucratic anxiety bordering on panic about the 50/50 prospect of a second Trump presidency.

Have no doubt that a Trump 2.0 prospect is viewed by the federal government as the embodiment of (in the words of one familiar with the behind-the-scenes war-gaming) “utter chaos” for Australia. The starting point, of course, no matter what is said publicly, is that the centre-left Albanese government is hoping and praying for the election of Kamala Harris. Meanwhile, all its efforts are being invested in trying to build bridges with a possible Trump administration.

If Donald Trump defeats Kamala Harris in the US election, how should Anthony Albanese respond?
Read more
After Trump’s unanticipated election in 2016, a “Team Australia’’ diplomatic effort was swiftly launched to build bridges with Trump after eight years of Democrat Barack Obama through well-established Republican party, military, diplomatic and bureaucratic channels. This time, if Trump is elected, it will be much harder: there is no Mike Pence, and the respected senior military personnel central to Trump’s first administration, notably James Mattis and John Kelly, with whom Australia had solid foundations, are now among Trump’s most ardent critics. The American federal bureaucracy is, at the senior levels where meaningful informal country-to-country relations exist between the US and Australia, under the shadow of Project 2025 which would politicise the public service to enable Trump. Such established contacts could become far more tenuous.

Now in Washington, there is, in the words of the person above with such insight, a “very panicky [Australian] shaking of the tree’’ for even the most distant contact with Trump’s people.

Trump, as he has repeatedly let it be known, has a long list of enemies. While it doesn’t necessarily take much to get on this Olympic narcissist’s personal injury list, his enablers in the media have helped somewhat – especially in the case of Australia’s ambassador to the US, former prime minister Kevin Rudd.
.........
Trump himself made this clear about “nasty’’ Rudd back in March, Rudd having (correctly) deemed Trump “nuts’’ and a “traitor to the west’’. The efforts to build bridges with Trump, or at least between Trump and Rudd, appear quite fruitless.
...........

[Thùy Linh]

hahaha, em Ba Bánh Bao là búp măng non, em lớn lên trong mùa cách mạng nè. Cho nên quá lậm với lối tuyên truyền của Việt cộng.
Đảng viên thì mới trung thành với đảng chứ mắc mớ gì người dân phải trung thành với đảng, chỉ "biết ơn" thôi, đảng là mùa sưng vù của rân tộc.

Họ sống như thế nào là việc của họ, chỉ cần đủ minh mẫn, sáng suốt để làm tổng thống thôi. Người già lúc nào kinh nghiệm cũng hơn người trẻ, chỉ rất tiếc là não không còn minh mẫn và nhạy bén như trước.

Chánh trị là một giòng chảy, tuỳ theo thời gian giờ giấc mà chảy ngược chảy xuôi, tuỳ theo thời tiết khí tượng mà chảy lẹ chảy lờ lờ, tuỳ theo địa thế là bên lở bên bồi, tuỳ theo địa lý mà lúc đục lúc trong…

Đảng thì Mỹ có hai phe lớn nhứt nhưng mỗi khi mỗi khác, lúc nhích thêm qua bên tả hoặc lúc đổ dồn về mé hữu, xàng xê tới lui miết chứ hông chạy thẳng tắp lự như cái đường băng cho máy bay hạ cánh.

Người dân thường thay đổi chánh kiến tuỳ theo tuổi tác hay hoàn cảnh. Sông có khúc, người có lúc, áo quần có cúc mà bận cũng hôm thì chật hôm thì rộng rinh…

Trung thành với một đảng là hông hợp lẽ tự nhiên, là hông có chánh kiến, hông biết nghĩ sâu ngó xa, hoặc là bị xúi dại hoặc là bị đàn áp hông được tự do nên đành chịu. Dân vi quý, xã tắc thứ chi, đảng vi khinh.

Chắc phải vài ngày mới biết được kết quả bầu cử Hoa Kỳ Thầy Năm, Thầy Ốc ha ?

Trong gia đình anh chị em của 003, đại đa số trung thành với một đảng từ xưa giờ, bất luận . còn 003 thì không, bầu cho "policy" ....chứ không trung thành với đảng nào cả.

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Chắc phải vài ngày mới biết được kết quả bầu cử Hoa Kỳ Thầy Năm, Thầy Ốc ha ?

Trong gia đình anh chị em của 003, đại đa số trung thành với một đảng từ xưa giờ, bất luận . còn 003 thì không, bầu cho "policy" ....chứ không trung thành với đảng nào cả.

Thường thấy mấy ngày sau mới đếm hết phiếu bầu. Tuy nhiên theo tình hình hiện tại, cái ghế này thuộc về phe cộng hoà rồi. Trâm chắc là "người mới" của Hoa Kỳ.

[ốc]

Déjà vu. Chờ đến 6 tây tháng Một chắc phải đi cứu nước một trận. Thế lực ngầm đang tấn công nước Mỹ.

Toàn dân nghe chăng
Sơn hà nguy biến…

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Kỳ này server ở Frankfurt chắc đã bị trục trặc.

[005]

Chợt nhớ lại tình cảnh cựu tổng thống Nguyễn Văn Thiệu.

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Elon Musk joined Trump's call with Zelensky


Barak Ravid


Elon Musk (L) with President-elect Trump and Sen. JD Vance in Pennsylvania. Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Donald Trump's phone call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Wednesday included two surprises: Elon Musk was also on the line, and Zelensky was somewhat reassured by what he heard from the president-elect, two sources with knowledge of the call tell Axios.

Why it matters: The new details of the call underscore how influential Musk could be in the second Trump administration, and the uncertainty over how exactly Trump will approach Ukraine.

Between the lines: Trump's public messages throughout the election campaign — promising a quick resolution to the war, declining to say which side he wanted to win and criticizing the massive aid packages flowing from Washington — raised alarm bells in Kyiv and throughout Europe.

• The Biden administration is now looking for ways to get as much military assistance as possible to Ukraine ahead of Jan. 20, when Trump could turn off the spigot.
• But the private conversations Trump and his team have had with Zelensky and his advisers over the last two months — including on Wednesday — were somewhat more reassuring to the Ukrainians, the sources say.
• Zelensky himself felt the fact that the call happened so soon after Trump was declared the winner was a positive sign, one of the sources told Axios. Trump has yet to speak with Vladimir Putin since the election, but the Russian president said he will pick up if Trump calls.

Behind the scenes: The call between Trump and Zelensky lasted around 25 minutes, according to the sources who were briefed on its details.

• After Zelensky congratulated Trump, the president-elect said he will support Ukraine, but didn't go into details.
• Three sources briefed on the call all told Axios that Zelensky felt the call went well and that it did not increase his anxiety about Trump's victory. One source said it "didn't leave Zelensky with a feeling of despair."
• Musk also weighed in during the call to say he will continue supporting Ukraine through his Starlink satellites, the sources said. Musk did not respond to a request for comment.
  
  • Starlink has been crucial to Ukraine's war effort, though Musk has also mocked Zelensky's requests for U.S. aid, and Zelensky rebuked the billionaire for proposing a peace plan of his own in 2022.

Reality check: Much went unsaid, and much remains unknown. Trump and Zelensky did not delve into policies like Trump's purported plan to end the war, or the prospect of further U.S. aid, the sources said.

Flashback: Zelensky met Trump in September in New York, at which time they discussed the war with Russia and a possible diplomatic path for ending it.

• According to three sources with knowledge of that meeting, Trump told Zelensky he would not abandon Ukraine, but wants to give diplomacy a chance.
• "I promise you will be happy with me," Trump told Zelensky during that meeting, according to a source with knowledge. The Trump campaign declined to comment on Wednesday's call or the previous meeting.
• In attendance at that meeting was former U.S. ambassador to Germany Richard Grenell, a possible Trump pick for secretary of state or another senior post. Grenell is expected to play a leading role in any Ukraine diplomacy.
• Since the meeting in New York, Zelensky's advisers have kept an open channel of communication with Trump's aides. Trump told Zelensky Wednesday that they would continue the conversations after he assembles his foreign policy team.

What they're saying:

"Nothing of what Zelensky and his aides heard from Trump and his team in private has been alarming or made us feel that Ukraine is going to be the one who pays the price."

— Source familiar with the conversations

"I had an excellent call with President Trump and congratulated him on his historic landslide victory — his tremendous campaign made this result possible," Zelensky wrote on X after the call on Wednesday.

• "Strong and unwavering U.S. leadership is vital for the world and for a just peace," Zelensky said, adding that he and Trump agreed to maintain close dialogue.
• Yes, but: In a speech in Budapest on Thursday, Zelensky made clear that despite his positive call with Trump, he "cannot yet know what his actions will be."

The big picture: During the campaign, Trump repeatedly said he would immediately push for Ukraine-Russia peace talks if elected, and even claimed he could get a deal within 24 hours.

• On Thursday in Budapest, Zelensky acknowledged that Trump wants to end the war quickly but stressed they did not discuss that in detail during the call.
• "If it's just fast, it means losses for Ukraine. I just don't yet understand how this could be in any other way. Maybe we do not know something, do not see," Zelensky said.
• He stressed Ukraine wants "a fair end to the war" that includes security guarantees.

The intrigue: Musk also joined Trump's call with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, who told reporters that Musk and Trump had been having dinner together at the time.

What to watch: Even though they're wary of potential peace talks, the Ukrainians see some upside in breaking with the current "negative status-quo," one source briefed on government deliberations said.

• Three sources with knowledge of Ukrainian government assessments said that Kyiv expects that if peace talks do take place, they will agree to participate but Putin will either reject the talks or take steps that doom them to failure.

/*src.: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/08/mus...y-ukraine-call

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Ngày sau sẽ ra sao?

[ốc]

Ngày sau sẽ ra sao?

Có liền.

Que sera sera?

When Trump was first a president
We asked our country how bad it’ll be?
Will it be messy? Will it be worse?
Here's what we told ourselves:
Que sera sera
Whatever will be will be
The future’d not be the same
Que sera sera
What will be will be

When we got tired and kicked him out
He asked his voters what will you do?
Will you take Congress? Will you attack?
And they listened to him
Take Congress, MAGA
Whatever will be will be
This country is ours to ruin
Fight like hell, MAGA
What will be will be

Now Trump again is president
We ask our good friends what will we be?
Will we live thru this? Will we be dead?
We don’t really want to know
Que sera sera
Whatever will be, will be
The future is dim for sure
Que sera sera
What will be will be
Que mierda mierda